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thunbsup 
(01-11-2019, 08:25 AM)DaJavoo Wrote: <Daj grabs some bacon...>

[Image: 732e10132e079b700978b010550ba37e.jpg]

Mornin' all ~ We're back to below freezin' here.  [Image: freezinnt8.gif]

Hell, I had the damned AIR CONDITIONER on earlier in the week.

[Image: gaahvu5.gif]

Same here, snow storm comin in later tonight / tomorrow. 5/6 inches. Scream1
 
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https://twitter.com/rising_serpent/statu...6859370496
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Lmao

https://twitter.com/KayaJones/status/108...0668796928
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(01-11-2019, 08:39 AM)Full~Throttle Wrote:
(01-11-2019, 08:25 AM)DaJavoo Wrote: <Daj grabs some bacon...>

[Image: 732e10132e079b700978b010550ba37e.jpg]

Mornin' all ~ We're back to below freezin' here.  [Image: freezinnt8.gif]

Hell, I had the damned AIR CONDITIONER on earlier in the week.

[Image: gaahvu5.gif]

Same here, snow storm comin in later tonight / tomorrow.  5/6 inches.  Scream1

It's supposed to kick up to mid 40s today and rain late tonight and tomorrow.

i wouldn't mind a few inches of snow and maybe a couple of weeks of deep freeze. A nice ice storm wouldn't be too much to ask for, would it? It would kill off some of the ticks. Neem gets expensive when you have to spray the yard every other week to keep the pest populations down.
The Grumpy Geezer's Signature Surprise.
Stay tuned to this Grump Channel as new programming will be added irregularly.

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Jptdknpa

(01-11-2019, 09:53 AM)DaJavoo Wrote: Lmao

https://twitter.com/KayaJones/status/108...0668796928

[Image: goNOTFZ.jpg]
The Grumpy Geezer's Signature Surprise.
Stay tuned to this Grump Channel as new programming will be added irregularly.

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[Image: UGlL7QO.png]
https://twitter.com/HNIJohnMiller/status...3010843649
1) Trump can, but does not want, to declare a national emergency in order to build the wall. It is a very nice position to be in, really, knowing that he can get what he wants one way or the other. But he still wants it to go through congress. Why?
2) Because he wants a Republican congress and senate again after 2020. Right now, he's on track to win 2020. He's an incumbent in a good economy, and right now the markets both like a deadlocked government AND is now immune to the shocks that plagued the Obama shutdowns.
3) But he can't have another round of House and Senate elections like what we saw for 2018. We didn't bleed as much as we could have and even edged out a gain in the Senate, and Trump's name will be on the ballot, but the GOP isn't going to save itself, they're incapable of it.
4) So, he's going to take a $5 billion border wall, and he's going to drag it kicking and screaming through Congress, and by doing so he will simultaneously destroy the Democrats who will watch the far left abandon them in droves and make their 2018 primary issues seem mild...
5) And he'll give the GOP a leg to stand on. "We built a wall! We can accomplish things!"

Remember what he promised. The GOP doesn't know how to win. He's going to show them how, and that's by pulling $5 billion for a wall out of a hostile Pelosi house and getting 10 Senate Dems
6) Just like how this government shutdown isn't even touching the military, this is setting up a win for close to 2 years from now. That's why it has to go through the legislative branch and not a national emergency. Trump is trying to feed the GOP a win they can campaign on.
7) I can guarantee you that the only reason the national emergency is being talked about now is as a negotiating tactic. Trump is making it very clear that he can and is willing to build a wall through a national emergency.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=29Mv9_KOI-w
https://thehill.com/homenews/administrat...y-for-wall
8) This option has been open THE ENTIRE TIME, keep in mind. We were at justifiable national emergency levels for years. But now Trump himself is taking it upon himself to lead the negotiations instead of leaving it to the GOP, who already dropped the ball and lost the midterms
9) So, again. Relax. The wall's going up. Consider that inevitable. We will have a border wall being built by the time the year's out.

The only question now is how much ELSE Trump will get in exchange.

/end
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[Image: UGlL7QO.png]
https://twitter.com/HNIJohnMiller/status...5026319360
1) Who’s on the attack? Its a question that’s asked thousands of times every day. Usually its asked as ‘who’s the aggro deck’, when people are playing competitive card games, which is where I learned the concept.
2) Essentially, in a one on one competition, there are two strategies. Offense, and defense. Nice and simple. The offense aggresively goes after their goals, the defense will prevent their opponents from achieving their goals until the defense can achieve its goals.
3) Whoever does best at their strategy, wins.

So what happens when both competitors go into a match intending to be on the offense? What happens when both intend to be on the defense?

4) Then you ask the question: WHO is on the attack? Who of the two offensive players is more aggressive? Who of the two defensive players is more aggressive?

5) Trump vs Pelosi and Schumer on the border wall. What strategies did they both walk in with?
6) Trump is always aggressive in negotiations. He uses Twitter, he makes promises, he declares what he’s after in no uncertain terms.
7) Democrats are aggressive too. They attack their opponents character directly to make them submit. They’re smart, in a pitbull knowing to bite your nutsack kind of way.

8) In a competition between two offensive strategies, correctly identifying who is the more aggressive player and who is the more defensive player is the difference between victory and defeat.
9) Players who incorrectly labels themselves the more aggressive player will overextend themselves and leave themselves vulnerable to a counterattack.

10) Players who incorrectly label themselves the more defensive player will play too cautiously and miss opportunities to seize the initiative and achieve their goals.
11) Trump vs Pelosi/Schumer, or nunchucks as @LarrySchweikart refers to them. Both came in with aggressive strategies. What in the flying fuck happened?

12) Well, let me introduce you to the third tier of logic. First tier is planning to be offensive or defensive. Second tier is adapting to be aggressive or defensive based on what your opponent is doing.

13) Third tier, which is where I believe Trump is right now: adapting in an unexpected way to your opponent to bait them into an incorrect adaptation of their strategy in order to win.

14) Trump, the personification of aggressive negotiation strategies, held his national speech and was... defensive. Understated numbers to head off accusations of overstating threats. Kept his goals simple and clear.

15) Nunchucks incorrectly identified themselves as the attacker, and went in far too aggressively, accusing Trump of racism when their loyal factchecking propagandists were forced to admit understated the facts and numbers that Pelosi is on record as not carinf about.

16) They then attempted to backpedal defensively, and bluffed that if the government was reopened they would negotiate on the wall.

17) Imagine a big long line, ranging from offense on the left, to defense on the right. Mark it a scale of 1 to 10.
18) We assume Trump is always going to be in the 1-2 range for negotiations, as aggressive as possible.

19) Knowing this, the Democrats placed themselves at a 3-4 range. Still very aggressive, but less so than Trump, thinking if they held strong he’d burn himself out and his support would evaporate.
20) Trump proceeded to go into the match with the speeches placing himself at 5, throwing off Nunchucks who attempted to offer a bluff of an olive branch hoping to appear even more moderate.

21) The defensive player in a match does not sit passively. He instead waits for the opponent to give him opportunities to strike.
22) A player who incorrectly plays too offensively will accidentally overextend. The Democrats believed Trump would be far more aggressive than he was, and so they in turn played far more aggressively, not realizing their error until they were already overextended.

23) Again, to reiterate:

First tier: Going into a match planning to be aggressive or defensive.

Second tier: adjusting your strategy to counter your opponent.

Third tier: Baiting your opponent into committing to the wrong strategy.


24) All Nunchucks had to do was shut up and don’t be dumb. That was it. That was their one job. Had they played defensively and just buttoned up to let Trump rant endlessly about his wall, he would have blown his load and eventually be forced to capitulate.

25) So they took a far more aggressive strategy thinking that however aggressive they were, it would still be defensive compared to how aggressive Trump would be. They thought until the trap closed on them that they were on the defensive.

26) In short, they were the defense and would have won had they stuck to that, but they incorrectly identified Trump as offensive, and were baited into playing more offensively as a result.

27) Trump walking out of the meeting with Pelosi? Pence backing Trump’s side of the story entirely? That’s the counterattack. That’s the defensive strategy exploiting the weakness of an overextended attacker.

28) In short: relax. Trump won this battle before it even began.

“But noooooo, being passive is baaaaad, we must fight for our ideals!”

Alright. Cool story bro. Let me know what throwing Coulter-esque panic and fear based rants on Twitter has ever actually accomplished.

/end

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60's and rain tomorrow.. I cant wait

I need a rainy, lazy day daydream
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I love puddle jumping.~


Cheer
Copy that..!

Damn where's my pencil?




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Java's doin' PIZZA!!!

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