Welcome, Guest

 or  Register
NewsFeed

Election Thread: predictions, analysis for mid-terms[MERGED]
#31
(10-31-2018, 01:48 AM)Guest Wrote: Got the above from barnes' site.  Not sure if it's nate silver's folks though so it might have been put out by them.  

However, I always think during election time it's good to throw everything into the mix, even the stuff that the dems are being fed to see the bigger picture.

Nice posts, Guest! It's appreciated!

Nate Silver is still spewing the idea that the House is going Dems by a big margin. But early voting, plus a national average of 3-5% of more Republican voters versus a loss on Democrat side, speaks to a trend completely opposite the narrative being spun by Mainstream Media and their minions.
Aquarius, DaJavoo, Firefly, phxsparks, Verity  likes this!
Reply Share
#32
(10-31-2018, 02:14 AM)The Order of Chaos Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:48 AM)Guest Wrote: Got the above from barnes' site.  Not sure if it's nate silver's folks though so it might have been put out by them.  

However, I always think during election time it's good to throw everything into the mix, even the stuff that the dems are being fed to see the bigger picture.

Nice posts, Guest! It's appreciated!

Nate Silver is still spewing the idea that the House is going Dems by a big margin. But early voting, plus a national average of 3-5% of more Republican voters versus a loss on Democrat side, speaks to a trend completely opposite the narrative being spun by Mainstream Media and their minions.

[Image: jay.gif]
Reply Share
#33
(10-31-2018, 01:39 AM)Guest Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:30 AM)Aquarius Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:11 AM)Guest Wrote: Thank you didn't realize that.  When does the party that wins the house vote on speaker, please?  Thought of this when ryan was mr. pompous today about the fact that the EO was being considered by POTUS.

According to this, ...

" ... No legislative business can be conducted without a Speaker in office. ..."

https://www.conginst.org/2015/01/06/what...-congress/

Yes, the story is from 2015, but I would guess it is always that way.

.

That was a great article.  So much so that I have a friend who teaches the eighth grade and I sent her the article because she asked us all if we encounter anything that would be helpful in their discussion of the elections we should send it along.  That article was absolutely perfect and clear as a bell.  thanks

Do remind her that the article is from 2015.
I didn't find anything more recent, although I would imagine there are more recent articles on it she might prefer to use.
Heartflowers
   “Come, Holy Spirit, fill the hearts of your faithful. And kindle in them the fire of your love. Send forth Your Spirit and they shall be created. And you will renew the face of the earth.”    

"Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." ~ John Adams  
.
phxsparks, The Order of Chaos  likes this!
Reply Share
#34
(10-31-2018, 01:48 AM)Guest Wrote: Got the above from barnes' site.  Not sure if it's nate silver's folks though so it might have been put out by them.  

However, I always think during election time it's good to throw everything into the mix, even the stuff that the dems are being fed to see the bigger picture.

I agree. We don't get the bigger picture if we don't look at both sides.
   “Come, Holy Spirit, fill the hearts of your faithful. And kindle in them the fire of your love. Send forth Your Spirit and they shall be created. And you will renew the face of the earth.”    

"Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." ~ John Adams  
.
The Order of Chaos  likes this!
Reply Share
#35
(10-31-2018, 01:09 AM)The Order of Chaos Wrote: Arizona

Garret Archer is an analyst looking at the State Secretary of Arizona's data information. He works with them.

The link provided shows a very interesting scenario occurring in Arizona.

Dems are winning up to the 44 year age category, with Republicans taking lead in all categories of above ages.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...3708669952

Check the size of those shifts after 44. They're massive. That's a landslide.

Additional age categories:
35-44 (8.5%) +1.9 DEM
45-54 (12.6%) +11.9 GOP
54-65 (21.2%) +13 GOP
65-75 (27.1%) +10.9 GOP


What I think the Dems have missed is the Boomer Dems. In their rush to modernise the party they've mistakenly left behind their base. They're very hot in the metros because they have a virtual stranglehold on the Millenials, but they're very weak everywhere else. That's not sustainable nor is it wise.

They expand their vote in the metros by making promises so out there only a Millennial would mistake it for creating a better reality (sorry you Millennials here - I know you get it. But most of your generation don't and it's so easy to fool em it's distressing, is my point).

But they're only preaching to the converted, but that's where they spend all their time.

So I wonder how many neglected Boomer Dems, having watched this whole campaign since many of em have retired and have lots of time, will either switch their vote or more likely, simply absent themselves.

Interesting times, aren't they.
Nothing is more vigorously defended than a vested interest disguised as an intellectual conviction.
Reply Share
#36
(10-29-2018, 02:25 PM)Luvapottamus Wrote: I predict the new bosses will be just like the old bosses.

With about 99% confidence and a one percent margin of error.


[Image: MURROW-RIGHT.jpg]
Reply Share
#37
(10-31-2018, 03:39 AM)phxsparks Wrote:
(10-29-2018, 02:25 PM)Luvapottamus Wrote: I predict the new bosses will be just like the old bosses.

With about 99% confidence and a one percent margin of error.


[Image: MURROW-RIGHT.jpg]

AZ senate

DEMS poured 50 million into az.


50 million is the price of a demonratic soros seat.

republicans waited too long to send anti marxist ads.
Dems ran 50 million of ads before the repub primary.

Not one sinema ad ever stated that she was a Democrat.



I am voting Mc Salley, and I am taking my neighbor with me to vote.











God please help us to defeat the lying Marxist seinma.
Reply Share
#38
(10-31-2018, 01:45 AM)Dark Moon Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:37 AM)Aquarius Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:12 AM)Dark Moon Wrote: I voted early last Wednesday went to a Trump rally Saturday, drunk posted Sunday so I have to say its been a pretty good week.  V6sRZf4

The left have a snowballs chance in hell of winning anything except another chance to blame everybody else for their failures.

We have vote-by-mail only, and I mailed my ballot in last week.
Some of the states have pretty tight races, and we need to keep praying for AZ (for one) to VOTE RED !!

I feel that many will be amazed next week at the outcome of this election. When Trump ran for president the left as well as others used the exact rhetoric as is being used now, and we know how that ended. The left just need another good slap across their face as a reminder to accept their place as failures and accept reality that winning is not part of their future.

Perhaps more than win/lose ~ it should give them a clue that they MUST listen to what WE the PEOPLE want. They need to get back to basics, i.e., Congress is beholden to the People, not the people are the slaves to the mandates of Congress.

Further more, imo, after the election many will no longer be standing for office ANYWHERE except perhaps as Cell Block Stoolie.
Reply Share
#39
(10-31-2018, 03:30 AM)Dr Evil Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:09 AM)The Order of Chaos Wrote: Arizona

Garret Archer is an analyst looking at the State Secretary of Arizona's data information. He works with them.

The link provided shows a very interesting scenario occurring in Arizona.

Dems are winning up to the 44 year age category, with Republicans taking lead in all categories of above ages.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...3708669952

Check the size of those shifts after 44. They're massive. That's a landslide.

Additional age categories:
35-44 (8.5%) +1.9 DEM
45-54 (12.6%) +11.9 GOP
54-65 (21.2%) +13 GOP
65-75 (27.1%) +10.9 GOP


What I think the Dems have missed is the Boomer Dems. In their rush to modernise the party they've mistakenly left behind their base. They're very hot in the metros because they have a virtual stranglehold on the Millenials, but they're very weak everywhere else. That's not sustainable nor is it wise.

They expand their vote in the metros by making promises so out there only a Millennial would mistake it for creating a better reality (sorry you Millennials here - I know you get it. But most of your generation don't and it's so easy to fool em it's distressing, is my point).

But they're only preaching to the converted, but that's where they spend all their time.

So I wonder how many neglected Boomer Dems, having watched this whole campaign since many of em have retired and have lots of time, will either switch their vote or more likely, simply absent themselves.

Interesting times, aren't they.

The GOP %'s in the list above represent a 30 year age bracket, the youngest of which was born in 1973, the oldest in WWII. Mostly Boomer, but more importantly this group of people are in MID-CAREER (planning for the Golden Years) and RETIRED. Neither group wants to see economic deterioration.

The Dem Group above represents peeps born after 1973, which most definitely were marinated in LIBERAL education, in primary/secondary/college levels. THAT's WHY they are 'liberal.' When they start working, they too, will do as generations before them, and finally learn that ivory tower socialism STEALS THEIR WEALTH and the grit of the work-a-day world is the reality of mortgage payments, kid's soccer uniforms, daycare, orthodontists, a new car every three years and desperately hoping the stock market will puff their 401-k's. They will figure it all out, just as the hippies and beatniks did before them.
=42, Dr Evil, The Order of Chaos, Verity, WNC  likes this!
Reply Share
#40
(10-31-2018, 03:30 AM)Dr Evil Wrote:
(10-31-2018, 01:09 AM)The Order of Chaos Wrote: Arizona

Garret Archer is an analyst looking at the State Secretary of Arizona's data information. He works with them.

The link provided shows a very interesting scenario occurring in Arizona.

Dems are winning up to the 44 year age category, with Republicans taking lead in all categories of above ages.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...3708669952

Check the size of those shifts after 44. They're massive. That's a landslide.

Additional age categories:
35-44 (8.5%) +1.9 DEM
45-54 (12.6%) +11.9 GOP
54-65 (21.2%) +13 GOP
65-75 (27.1%) +10.9 GOP


What I think the Dems have missed is the Boomer Dems. In their rush to modernise the party they've mistakenly left behind their base. They're very hot in the metros because they have a virtual stranglehold on the Millenials, but they're very weak everywhere else. That's not sustainable nor is it wise.

They expand their vote in the metros by making promises so out there only a Millennial would mistake it for creating a better reality (sorry you Millennials here - I know you get it. But most of your generation don't and it's so easy to fool em it's distressing, is my point).

But they're only preaching to the converted, but that's where they spend all their time.

So I wonder how many neglected Boomer Dems, having watched this whole campaign since many of em have retired and have lots of time, will either switch their vote or more likely, simply absent themselves.

Interesting times, aren't they.

I'm told that he girl running in queens against the guy who was supposed to be speaker if the dems won, and a republican who no one has even heard from keeps saying "don't worry, the boomers are all going to die and what I'm saying will be the reality", In fact, have heard that a lot of millenial dems are saying this to one another and even out loud to family and co workers. To your point, the boomer dems might just be remaining quiet and speaking at the voting booth. Hope this is true as they say she, and others, have been willing to say some pretty horrendous things right to the boomers faces.

Saw on fox and friends that nanny p was on with colbert and she said they were going to win it all so much so that it freaked colbert out a bit. Wonder, since some dems are promising not to vote her as speaker if they win their race, if this girl and others running aren't a product of a pelosi/georgie partnership to ensure her speakership should they win?
Dr Evil, The Order of Chaos  likes this!
Reply Share

Post Thread  Back To Forum
[-]
Quick Reply
Message
Type your reply to this message here.

Please select the number: 10
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10