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Election Thread: predictions, analysis for mid-terms[MERGED]
#11
Dedication guys, dedication, keep going.

Heartflowers
The world was not worthy for that which God sent to help it.  "The Lord preserves the souls of his saints" Septuagint Psalm 96 A man regaining his manhood is a miracle. Virtue is greater than any value that you can place upon it, integrity is essential in life. Every child has the potential to renew and rejuvenate creation with the heart of integrity. The freedom to love @awesome! Human life is worth more than Islam could ever be.
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#12
Thought this was a good basic explanation:

https://twitter.com/Burt_Rentals/status/...6988755969
Aquarius, The Order of Chaos  likes this!
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#13
This is just too funny:

https://twitter.com/XYZenQanon/status/10...8995748865
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#14
Multiple seats in the House of Representatives switching to the Republican side.

https://twitter.com/MoarCryptoPls/status...9438020610

California's #45, 25, 39 are leaning strongly towards Red, while district 48 is so ahead for Rohrabacher that despite "polls" data has him far, far ahead.  

Rossi in Washington's 8th district is very much ahead, even by MSM polling. (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls...-6458.html)  Beutler in Washington's district 3 has pretty much secured the position already.

Texas has Culberson in district 7, who is holding ahead and just inside the margin of error, but he won by 10+ in 2016.  While polls have them within margins of error, cast early ballots has these districts more leaning Republican than indicated by MSM.  

Kansas district 2 and Kentucky district 6 have Republican favorites, with Kansas #2 very much ahead, and Dems within striking distance within Kentucky #6.  

Michigan district 8 has Bishop ahead, outside of the margin of error with more votes coming in.

Arizona has a significant edge for Republicans.

".@SecretaryReagan EB update for 10/30: 1.1 Million in (50% est). Parties: GOP 43.3% DEM 33.3% OTH 22.8% (+10 R). Estimate for women now 50.6%. Median age hold 64, avg age drops to 60.7."
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...0496765952

The GOP has an estimated +10 lead, though recent early voting has Dems catching up. There is an estimated shift of +7-9 Republican favor, instead of the +10-12 from a few day sago. The significant portion is the "other" vote which is splitting 2-1 roughly, in favor of Republicans. Trump won Arizona +6 in 2016, so an estimated 7-9 points is still a solid lead. Will keep an eye on this.
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#15
Have a co worker who said his parents were planning to vote for gillum in florida. They're democrats, all of them. I actually heard him say to his parents "Ok, mom and dad, if you vote for him you know you are voting for a state income tax right? You know you are voting for ruining everything we love about the state right? You know he's going to tax everything that moves, right?"

That's a pretty good argument right there to vote for desnactis and he didn't even mention one word about all of gillum's corruption.
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#16
(10-30-2018, 10:13 PM)Guest Wrote: Have a co worker who said his parents were planning to vote for gillum in florida.  They're democrats, all of them.  I actually heard him say to his parents "Ok, mom and dad, if you vote for him you know you are voting for a state income tax right?  You know you are voting for ruining everything we love about the state right?  You know he's going to tax everything that moves, right?"  

That's a pretty good argument right there to vote for desnactis and he didn't even mention one word about all of gillum's corruption.

Nicely done!
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#17
Oh, cwap! Pinned. Thank you!

Dramasquirrel

Pleasantly surprised!
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#18
In case anyone else was wondering, the congressional winners of the midterms take office on January 3.

V6sRZf4
   “Come, Holy Spirit, fill the hearts of your faithful. And kindle in them the fire of your love. Send forth Your Spirit and they shall be created. And you will renew the face of the earth.”    

"Our Constitution was made only for a moral and religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the government of any other." ~ John Adams  
.
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#19
Arizona

Garret Archer is an analyst looking at the State Secretary of Arizona's data information. He works with them.

The link provided shows a very interesting scenario occurring in Arizona.

https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...3384518656

Via Early Ballot voting results, as of today October 30th, Republicans have 475,000 votes, Democrats 365,000 and Others at 250,000.

While some are claiming that the Dems have access to win, Sinema having a shot, the overall total shows that Republicans lead by over 100,000 in the state. Garrett has claimed that over 50% of the expected votes have come in, with 13% Republicans defecting and voting with Sinema while 5% Dems are voting with McSalley.  

Even with this defection, it would require the Independents to split 2-1, at least, in favor of the Democrats for Sinema to have a chance. Furthermore, the defection must hold. If the percentages drop of Republican defectors, it would require that many more Independent swing votes to compensate.  There are those stating that this will happen, which may be a possibility, but with the damage she's done to herself with the Veritas videos, and the fact that Independents in other states are breaking Republican, it makes it unlikely. Democrats are pointing to past special elections where Democrat won despite an 8 point lead by the opponent, hoping for a repeat.  But those were special elections, not a state primary.

Dems are winning up to the 44 year age category, with Republicans taking lead in all categories of above ages.
https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/statu...3708669952

Democrat pundits seem to be ignoring the fact that Republican voters tend to flood the polling centers day of Election, with Dems taking early voting. The fact that Early Voting has been dominated so far by Republicans means that Dems must invert the process and overrun the polls on Election day, an unlikely scenario. More so when one considers that so far, Republican voters have increased their numbers by 3.3 percent in Arizona and Democrats have dropped by .3% in the same state.

https://twitter.com/MichaelENewton1/stat...9896573952

Article published yesterday indicates a significant trend for Republicans

"Early voting in Arizona decimates theories of a ‘Blue Wave’ for November. As of this posting, Republicans are leading Democrats by a staggering 11% in early voting with 75% of the state having voted. The current GOP lead is 44-33%."
https://www.halseynews.com/2018/10/29/ea...n-arizona/

I don't see the staggering 75% having voted as being reported in other reports, and the lead is smaller now, but it is still a sizable advantage for the Republican party.
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#20
(10-31-2018, 12:45 AM)Aquarius Wrote: In case anyone else was wondering, the congressional winners of the midterms take office on January 3.

V6sRZf4

Thank you didn't realize that. When does the party that wins the house vote on speaker, please? Thought of this when ryan was mr. pompous today about the fact that the EO was being considered by POTUS.
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